Orchestrated Conflict

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By Erick San Juan

“Why is China acting like a bully in the neighborhood?”, Satur Ocampo of PhilStar asked (6/14/14). It is pushing its dominance like a tough guy. It’s leaders are doing an ‘angel and demon’ op following the line of Sun Tzu’s Art of War: “One step backward, two steps forward.” Promising to espouse peace, business and economic assistance to its neighbors.

At the Shangri-La Dialogue, the respected security forum held annually in Singapore’s Shangri-La Hotel, a Filipino top security expert, Prof. Rommel Banlaoi, head of the Center for Intelligence and National Security Studies said that China acted like a ‘new predator’ at the conference.

Lt. Gen. Wang Guanzhong, deputy chief of staff of the PLA(Peoples Liberation Army) and the highest Chinese military official in China’s delegation undiplomatically snubbed Japan’s Defense Minister Itsunori Onodera and at the same time accused the U.S. of hegemony, threats and intimidation. Wang added that the speeches of Japan’s Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and US Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel were coordinated with each other and challenges China. Wang concluded that China has NEVER taken the first step to provoke trouble and had only been forced to respond to the provocations of others (China Daily 6/6/14).

As I have written before, like a thief in the night, China is installing its oil rig in Vietnam without further notice and grabbing even the shoals and reefs also claimed by other Asian nations like the Philippines. Intimidating its neighbors in the process.

What emboldened China to act this way? According to David Feith of Wall Street Journal (6/5/14), “China seems to have bet in the South China Sea, that now is the time to bully and bluster because the US response will be limited. In Beijing’s calculation, it appears that before the US can complete it’s pivot to Asia by boosting military cooperation with Japan, start returning troops to Philippine bases, make port calls in Vietnam, China has already deployed their war materials and the PLA warm bodies through the 9 dash lines and ADIZ as deterrent to the containment and encirclement of China. Feith added that China’s Gen. Zhu Chenghu diagnosed American foreign policy suffering from ‘erectile dysfunction’. Citing US weakness toward Russia’s president Vladimir Putin, Zhu said that he doubts Washington will get involved or use military intervention once there is a territorial dispute involving China and its neighbors.

“That’s a dangerous belief for Chinese officialdom to hold. First, it signals more grabs for territory, natural resources and shipping lanes. And if China misjudge American passivity, it could initiate a shooting war with US in East Asia.”, Feith warned.

The truth about China’s aggressiveness, over expansion and the myth of growing economy is now being unmasked as a cover-up and a possible bubble burst is in the offing.

Due to its tight control of media and the internet, China’s slowdown, too much graft and corruption among its leaders, capital flight, real estate bubble, and mounting debt poses as an internal threat which is being kept secret to the people. Even President Xi Jinping’s family was exposed by Bloomberg in 2012, amassing an estimated $376 million. Reason why Xi cant dictate, its the millionaires among the political elites who will ultimately decide the faith of China (William Pesek 6/14/14).

This could be the reason why China’s politburo is using the principle of “painting in the west and fighting in the east”, by showing to the world that their economy is OK and at the same time showing to their restive nationals that ‘China’s Dream’ will soon be a reality and a greater China and the reunification of Taiwan is on.

Pundits believe that China’s leaders are being selective in charting their history. Some have forgotten how the globalists lured the Soviets in believing that they’re on the verge of being a first world-er.

According to Daron Acemoglu and James Robinson in their best seller book- Why Nations Fail, as late as 1977, an English economist argued that Soviet-style economies were superior to capitalist ones in terms of economic growth, providing full employment, price stability and even producing people with altruistic motivation. Nobel peace prize winner Paul Samuelson predicted the coming economic dominance of the Soviet Union. He said that the Soviet national income would overtake that of the US possibly by 1984, but probably by 1997. By the 1970’s, Soviet’s economic growth had all but stopped. Then the Soviet Union hit a roadblock. Sounds familiar! Then in November of 1989, I witnessed the historic chopping of the Berlin wall and ended the Soviet empire.

“China’s debt reckoning is coming!”, William Pesek said (Bloomberg 6/4/14). “Maybe not this quarter or this year, but President Xi’s unbridled effort to keep growth from falling below the official 7.5% target is cementing China’s fate. And it seems that China’s financial excess is leading to ruin and Xi is continuing down this road.”

Quoting Nikolas Guosdev, a professor of national security studies at the US Naval War College reiterated that “war can start through unintended consequences and an economically interdependent world does not necessarily stop it from happening. Some of the systems supposed to prevent conflict may be starting to weaken (Reuters June 4,2014 report).

Last week, Danny Schechter, news dissecter of MediaChannel.org said that, “The financial crisis is still with us. With no end in sight, it may be time to GIVE WAR A CHANCE once again.”

Let’s prepare for the worst! Be self reliant!

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